Friday, January 29, 2010

Why the Fenstanton By-election matters


So why is this by-election important? Well 9 weeks after this by-election Huntingdonshire will go to the polls to elect a MPs and Councillors (not all wards up for election). This will give a good indication on how each party is doing in the forthcoming elections.

At the last Fenstanton Election.



2007 Candidates
Electorate
%
Candidate
Party
Vote
2,349
37.6
Dakers
Conservative
442 - elected
Richards
Labour
45
Saunderson
Liberal Democrat
430
This gives a majority of 12.

So what are the aims of each party?

For the Conservatives they just need to win. Losing in a close election whilst another seat gone will need to not be so bad and would not indicate a shift in support for the Conservatives.
The Liberal Democrats don't just need to win. They need to take this seat with a shed load of votes. Whilst a win would be an advance, the Liberal Democrats would need to win by double the Conservative vote to make the Constituency and the Council into a winnable scenario! (For example: LD's 600 votes against a Conservative vote of 300)
Labour needs to do better than 45.

No comments: