I published a blog way back on 30/12/09 on whether the Conservatives could lose control of HDC. I concluded this was mathematically possible. Whether the Liberal Democrats and UKIP had the ability to take up this challenge is still to be seen.
The state of the parties are currently: Conservative 36, Liberal Democrat 12, UKIP 2, Ind 2.
The Conservatives are defending 12 seats. The Liberal Democrats are defending 3. UKIP is defending 1. The Independent is not re-standing.
If the Conservatives lose all the seats they are defending they would have 24 seats. If the Liberal Democrats gained all the Conservative seats they would be equal to the Conservatives. If they took the former Independent seat and the UKIP they could be the largest party on 26. Unlikely but it mathematically could happen.
Seats up for election and the defending party.
Alconbury and The Stukeleys - Conservative
Buckden - Liberal Democrat
Earith - Conservative
Elton and Folksworth - Conservative
Godmanchester - Conservative
Gransden and The Offords - Conservative
Huntingdon East - Liberal Democrat
Huntingdon West - Conservative
Ramsey - UKIP
Sawtry - Independent
St Ives East - Conservative
St Ives South - Conservative
St Neots Eynesbury - Conservative
St Neots Priory Park - Liberal Democrat
The Hemingfords - Conservative
Warboys and Bury - Conservative
Yaxley and Farcet - Conservative
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